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SUSTAINABLE SOCIETY
AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: LIMITS AND
POSSIBILITIES
Author:
Hazel Henderson, Florida, USA.
Founder, Ethical
Markets Media, LLC and Series Creator and
Co-Executive Producer of its TV series -
Dr. Hazel Henderson is a is a world renowned
futurist, evolutionary economist, a worldwide
syndicated columnist, consultant on sustainable
development, and author of Beyond Globalization,
and seven other books. Her editorials appear
in 27 languages and more than 400 newspapers
syndicated by InterPress Service, Rome,
New York, and Washington DC. Her articles
have appeared in over 250 journals, including
(in USA) Harvard Business Review, New York
Times, Christian Science Monitor, and Challenge,
Mainichi (Japan), El Diario (Venezuela),
World Economic Herald (China), LeMonde Diplomatique
(France) and Australian Financial Review.
Her books are translated into German, Spanish,
Japanese, Dutch, Swedish, Korean, Portuguese,
and Chinese.
This article was written
by Hazel Henderson for the International
Symposium (USINOS) in Brazil, May 17-19,
2005

Thank you for the honour
of addressing this distinguished symposium
and its vital theme of re-integrating human
knowledge so as to address the human condition
in this new century.
The human family numbering
now over 6 billion is clearly the most biologically
successful species on planet Earth. We have
evolved from our birthplaces on the African
continent to colonize every part of Earth,
consuming 40% of all its primary photosynthetic
production - leading to the current and
mass extinction of other species. We have
conquered the oceans, the Moon and outer
space and now set our sights on Mars. To
continue our spectacular technological success
and preserve the options for our grandchildren's
survival, we must now face ourselves and
fearlessly diagnose our major failures:
the persistence of war and poverty. The
UN Millennium Development Goals provide
an initial agenda. Fulfilling these Goals
and shifting from fossil fuels to renewable
resources and their sustainability can employ
every willing man and woman on earth and
expand global prosperity.
Reappraisals of the
work of Charles Darwin together with new
evidence from historians, archeologists
and anthropologist now clearly point to
the evolution of human emotional capacity
for bonding, cooperation and altruism.[1]
Competition, territoriality and tribalism,
rooted in the fears of our past, served
humans well in our early trials and vulnerability.
So did cooperation and the ability to trust
and bond with each other - controlled by
the hormone oxytocin. Higher levels of this
hormone during pregnancy and lactation bonds
women to their children, over the extended
developmental period to maturity.[2] Today,
research by scientists from many fields,
neurosciences, endocrinology, psychology,
physics, thermodynamics, mathematics and
anthropology have invalidated the core assumptions
underlying economic models - as I will show
in this paper. This new research reveals
economics as a profession, not a science.
Political economy studies,
as they were originally termed, rose to
academic prominence after the publishing
in 1776 of Adam Smith's great work "An
Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the
Wealth of Nations". Invoking the scientific
knowledge of the day, Smith related his
famous theory of "an invisible hand"
that guided the self-interested decisions
of business men (sic) to serve the public
good and economic growth. Smith drew parallels
ascribing this pattern of human behavior
to Sir Isaac Newton's great discovery of
the physical laws of motion. These principles
of Newtonian physics can still be used to
guide space craft to land on distant celestial
bodies - most recently, Titan, one of Saturn's
moons.
Economists of the early
industrial revolution based their theories
not only on Adam Smith's work, but also
on Charles Darwin's The Descent of Man and
The Origin of Species (www.thedarwinproject.com).
They seized on Darwin's research on the
survival of the fittest and the role of
competition among species as additional
foundations for their classical economics
of "laissez faire" - the idea
that human societies could advance wealth
and progress by simply allowing the invisible
hand of the market to work its magic. In
class-ridden Victorian Britain, this led
economists and upper-class elites to espouse
theories known as "social Darwinism:"
the belief that inequities in the distribution
of land, wealth and income would nevertheless
produce economic growth to trickle down
to benefit the less fortunate.
Charles Darwin saw the
human capacity for bonding, cooperation
and altruism as an essential factor in our
successful evolution.[3] In retrospect,
how otherwise could we have gone from the
experience of over 95% of our history lived
in roving bands of 25 people or less [4]
- to today's mega cities: Sao Paulo, Shanghai,
Mexico City or Jakarta? These improbable
metropolises, along with global corporations
and governance institutions such as the
United Nations and all its agencies, the
European Union, now expanded to embrace
25 formerly warring countries - could never
have emerged without humanity's capacities
for bonding, cooperation and altruism.
So as we have evolved
into our complex societies, organizations
and technologies of today - we need to re-examine
our belief systems and the extent to which
they still may be trapped in earlier primitive
stages of our development. Why for example
do we underestimate our genius for bonding,
cooperation and altruism - seemingly stuck
in our earlier fears and games of competition
and territoriality? Why do we over-reward
such behavior and still assume in our economic
textbooks and business schools that maximizing
one's individual self-interest in competition
with all others is behavior fundamental
to human nature?
Why is our equal genius
for bonding and cooperative behavior - even
altruism not taught in business schools
as the true foundation of all human organizations
and our greatest scientific and technological
achievements? In reality, as every business
executive knows, competition and territoriality
are channeled within structures of cooperation
and networks of agreements, contracts, laws
and international regulatory regimes that
allow airlines, shipping, communications,
and other infrastructure to undergird global
commerce and finance.[5] Thus, the formula
for humanity's success has always rested
on cooperation while embracing competition
and creativity. Yet, shocking evidence documents[6]
that the very methods and curricula taught
in most business schools encourages managers
in the kind of behavior that produced the
wave of corporate scandals and crimes at
Enron, Worldcom, Parmalat, Tyco and Arthur
Andersen.[7]
What do deep, primitive
beliefs about the primacy of competition
and territoriality have to do with poverty
and war? All are rooted in ancient human
fears - of scarcity, of attacks by wild
animals or other fearful bands of humans.
Rooting out these fears - deeply coded in
our "us-versus-them" political
and economic textbooks - is the essential
task of our generation. We must move beyond
this economics of our early reptilian brains
- to the economics of our hearts and forebrains!
These old fears underlie today's continuing
cycles of oppression, poverty, violence,
revenge and terrorism. Indeed, if we humans
do not root out these now-dysfunctional
old fears, we will destroy each other.
Meanwhile, the fantastic
potential we have created for further successes
through fulfilling the UN Millennium Development
Goals and building prosperous, equitable,
sustainable human societies is now within
our grasp. The new "superpower"
of global public opinion is already rejecting
the old dysfunctional dogmas. Over ten million
of our fellow humans demonstrated peacefully
worldwide against the preemptive war on
Iraq. Yet as Thomas Kuhn described in his
Structure of Scientific Revolutions old
dysfunctional beliefs often persist long
after they have been disproved.[8]
So it is with today's
economic textbooks and the entire paradigm
underlying the "Washington Consensus"
model of development. We have evidence of
its bankruptcy all around us: widening poverty
gaps, the digital divide, unbalanced, unsustainable
economies mired in debt - breeding despair
and terrorism, diverting resources from
enhancing human life to military weapons,
death and destruction! All this is not a
flaw in human nature - but a flaw in our
encoding of our past in that set of dysfunctional
beliefs that deny humanity's true genius
- those cooperative, bonding and altruistic
skills that have undergirded all our progress
to date! Dysfunctional beliefs are deeply
entrenched in models of economics. This
malfunctioning source code underlying economics
is still replicating behaviors and organizational
structures that imperil human survival under
21st century conditions.
Echoes of these theories
are still heard today and propounded in
mainstream economic textbooks as theories
of "efficient markets", rational
human behavior as "competitive maximizing
of individual self-interest", "natural"
rates of unemployment (codified as the NAIRU
rule of central bankers) and the ubiquitous
"Washington Consensus" formula
for economic growth (free trade, open markets,
privatization, deregulation, floating currencies
and export-led policies). Lately, the US
Federal Reserve Board's use of "neutral"
interest rates has been exposed by the Levy
Institute as convoluted and favoring asset
owners above workers' wages (www.levy.org).
All these theories underpin
today's economic and technological globalization
and the rules of the World Trade Organization,
the International Monetary Fund, the World
Bank, stock markets, currency exchange and
most central banks. Since the 1980s and
the waves of global deregulation and privatization
unleashed by Britain's Margaret Thatcher
and US President Ronald Reagan, central
banks have lobbied for freedom from political
control - even by democratically-elected
governments. Even Britain's labor government
under Tony Blair conceded this autonomy
to the Bank of England.
How was this quiet "coup"
achieved by central bankers and their advocates
among the economics profession? Certainly
not due to their performance in achieving
their targets of non-inflationary economic
growth and fuller employment - given the
recent history of financial crises booms,
busts, bubbles, un-repayable debt and un-employment.
The policy drumbeats of economists and market
players supported central banks. They were
buttressed by their claims that economics
with its increasing use of mathematical
models, had matured into a science, matching
the feats of natural sciences since Newton
and Darwin in discovering the laws of nature.
Economists' theories from Smith's "invisible
hand" to Vilfredo Pareto's "optimality"
were elevated from theories to the status
of scientific principles.
Enter the Central Bank
of Sweden. In 1969 the Bank of Sweden put
up $1 million (US) to create a prize to
confer scientific status and legitimacy
on the academic discipline and policy advocacy
of the economics profession. Thus, the Bank
of Sweden named its economics prize "in
memory of Alfred Nobel" and lobbied
this designation onto the Nobel Prize Committee.
As his descendant, Peter Nobel put it, "The
Bank of Sweden, like a cuckoo, laid its
egg in the nest of another very decent bird,
infringing on the name and trademark of
Nobel." Since 1969, most of the Bank
of Sweden Prizes in Economic Science has
been awarded to US economists espousing
the Chicago School policies of laissez faire
"free markets" typical of its
most prominent prize winner Milton Friedman
(who is often erroneously described as a
"Nobel laureate"). Peter Nobel
added, "These economists use models
to speculate in stock markets and options
- the very opposite of the humanitarian
purposes of Alfred Nobel."[9]
Fast forward to December
2004 and the revolt of scientists, including
members of the Nobel Committee and Peter
Nobel himself. They all demanded that the
Bank of Sweden's economics prize either
be properly labeled and de-linked from the
other Nobel prizes - or abolished. The reason
for this sudden outburst, which had been
brewing for some time, was the awarding
of the economics prize to two more Chicago
School economists Edward C. Prescott and
Finn E. Kydland for their 1977 paper purporting
to prove by use of a mathematical model,
that central banks should be freed from
the control of politicians - even those
elected in democracies. The mathematicians
pounced - pointing to the many mis-uses
of their models by Prescott and Kydland
and other economists to "dress up"
their questionable theories and unscientific
assumptions (Dagens Nyheter, Stockholm,
Dec. 10, 2004).
As this news spread
around the world (InterPress Service, Jan
2005, LeMonde Diplomatique, Feb. 2005) the
usual heralding of the new economics prize
winners in the mainstream financial press
was strangely muted. Editors and spokespersons
for market fundamentalism fell quiet in
their citing of their favorite policies
as backed by some "Nobel laureate"
in economics. Yet economists need not be
embarrassed by this unmasking as a profession
rather than a science. Many honorable professions
are content with this term: those who practice
law, medicine, engineering, architecture
and other such applications of knowledge.
Lawyers in particular are happy to be known
as advocates. Similarly, we now know, economists
have always been advocates of various government
policies, regulations or deregulation, and
of the interests of their clients (most
often bankers, financial firms and corporations
in general). There is no quarrel with these
advocates, whether lawyers, economists or
lobbyists, or their roles in policy-making.
All that is necessary is clarity on the
part of these professionals and all advocates
- so that the public is fully informed -
and the issues are argued honestly.
The globalization of
finance and technology, the spread of privatization
and deregulated markets have produced a
range of unanticipated consequences. For
example, today's global Information Age
has already become The Age of Truth - where
careless corporate actions can destroy a
global brand in real time. Business leaders
worldwide have responded by embracing the
idea of good corporate citizenship, both
at home and globally. Two thousand companies
(including some 600 in Brasil) have signed
on to the ten principles of Global Corporate
Citizenship of the Global Compact, launched
by the United Nations in 2000, covering
human rights, workplace safety, justice
and ILO standards, as well as the environment
and anti-corruption. Civic groups worldwide
now monitor all the companies who have engaged
with the Global Compact, to see if they
are walking their talk. Backsliders are
publicly shown on hundreds of websites.
The World Social Forum has successfully
linked hundreds of thousands of civic activists
and organizations and made the beautiful
city of Porto Alegre a mecca of innovative
thought. The independent global media company
I chair, Ethical Marketplace LLC's TV series
on US public broadcasting stations is benchmarking
higher standards, corporate ethical performance
and socially-responsible investing worldwide.[10]
Capitalism's great proponent,
Adam Smith, would hardly recognize this
evolution of markets and companies toward
social and environmental responsibility.
Similarly, such changes in corporate behavior
have been driven by pension funds and millions
of investors who care about their children's
future and the state of our planet. Students
and prospective employees also ask about
companies' performance on human rights and
the environment, while new auditing standards
of the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI)
prescribed "triple bottom line"
accounting for people, profit and environment.
Six hundred global corporations now comply
with GRI accounting in their Annual Reports.
(www.gri.org) Sustainability has become
a buzzword and even Wall Street's venerable
Dow-Jones now has its
Sustainability Group
Index. The surprise to economists, mainstream
financial players and media is that these
new indices: London's FTSE4Good, the US
CALVIN and Domini Social 400 Index, as well
as Brasil's New BOVESPA, regularly out-perform
the mainstream Dow-Jones and Standard and
Poors 500. Are we witnessing an evolution
of human collective behavior toward moral
sentiments and altruism? Or is cooperation
for the common good now a condition of our
survival? I submit that both are involved.
The stages of human
development are illustrated well in this
diagram by futurist Duane Elgin. We are
also entering the Age of Light. As we humans
shape this current global stage in our development,
our new awareness of our beautiful planetary
home is calling forth the expanded identity
I call "planetary citizenship."
This larger identity enfolds and gives deeper
meaning to our identity with our family,
our community and companies, and the country
of our birth. We are enriched by the unique
expressions of so many other cultures in
our world. We savor their art, dance, music,
literature and especially their cuisine!
This human mutual appreciation for diversity
is the starting point for planetary citizenship
and the necessary transition to global sustainability.
Fundamentally, we humans
have three basic resources at our disposal
for this transition - information, matter
and energy. Of these, information is primary,
since the quality of information drives
our use of matter and energy. The history
of the social innovation of markets is instructive,
since they are now evolving rapidly. Markets
of course, were created by humans, not by
any deity. Adam Smith's "invisible
hand" was in reality our own human
invention, as recognized by historians of
science[11]. Yet, this belief in an "invisible
hand" persists in many economic textbooks
- even today!
The organization of
markets by the British Parliament three
centuries ago fostered the rapid evolution
of industrialism. These early markets described
by Adam Smith sparked many innovations.
The British laws that legitimized markets
and protected property rights led to a revolution
of individual entrepreneurship, creativity
and innovation, which spread across the
Atlantic Ocean and Europe. This 300 year-old
wave of industrialism spread around the
world and today is still changing Japan,
China, India and reaching the other ancient
cultures of South East Asia from Vietnam
and Cambodia to the Islands of Polynesia.[12]
Yet, industrialism must be reshaped because
it is socially and environmentally unsustainable.
The early markets of
the Industrial Revolution and their business
leaders created the infrastructure platforms
of concrete, steel, electricity, mechanized
production, shipping, roads and ports that
still undergird today's societies. But the
market freedoms provided by social legislation
limiting companies' liabilities, enforcing
property rights, upholding their patents
to their inventions, also brought great
harm to less fortunate, vulnerable members
of society. Who can forget the history book
horrors of those early sweatshops: the children
chained to spinning machines in textile
factories, the women dragging carts of coal
on their hands and knees in Britain's coal
mines. Britain's Enclosure Laws drove countless
thousands of peasants off their ancestral
common lands. As production moved from homes
and villages to factories, hoards of hungry
people wandered around the country begging
for food and shelter.[13] Industrialism's
goal was labor-saving via investments in
technology. Machinery, property rights and
enclosure drove peasants and small farmers
off the land and into factories. Then, as
factories automated their production lines,
workers moved into service sectors. Today,
services are being automated. Full-employment
promises fall short and un-employment remains
an ironic result of industrialism. Today,
economists are admitting that the flip side
of their model of "productivity"
is more unemployment. This "trickle-down"
model of job-creation is also revealed as
broken.
In every country where
industrialism took hold, the "tortoise"
of social innovation lagged behind the "hare"
of technological innovation. The history
of the industrial revolution with all its
good and bad news has included the lagging
response of social rules to distribute the
fruits of mechanized production and steer
technological development and regulations
to repair its social costs and environmental
damage. The very notion of an "invisible
hand" inhibited broader views and visions
of how economic systems could be steered
to foster the common good, shared prosperity
and protect nature's wealth. A few industrialists
evolved from their single-minded accumulation
of money and material goods - into philanthropists
who pointed publicly to the sin of hoarding.
They gave away their gains to foundations
that to this day promote peace, education,
health and the alleviation of poverty and
exclusion from the benefits of access to
both markets and society.
The economist, Joseph
Schumpeter best described these processes
of "creative destruction" that
also drove this greatest period of technological
innovation in human history.[14] The Information
Age superseded industrialism itself in the
mid-20th century. This new wave of innovation
has produced all the good and bad news of
today's globalization of markets and technology.
In my Politics of the Solar Age (1981, 1986),
I documented the ideological biases of neoclassical
economics and the unreality of many of the
inaccurate assumptions underlying even today's
economics textbooks. The new chorus of scientists
in physics, mathematics, neurosciences and
ecology joined their Swedish colleagues
in calling for the Bank of Sweden Prize
in Economics to be broadened, properly labeled
and disassociated from the Nobel Prizes
- or simply abolished. The objections from
the "hard" scientists who study
the natural world and whose research findings
are therefore subject to verification or
refutation included scores of ecologists,
biologists, natural resource experts, engineers
and thermodynamicists. I documented their
critiques of economics, building on the
1971 classic by Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen,
The Entropy Law and the Economic Process,
which I reviewed in the Harvard Business
Review (1971).
Other scientists including
physicist, Professor Dr. Hans Peter Durr
of Germany's famed Max Planck Institute
agree that economics is not a science. Durr
says "economics is not even bad science
because its core assumptions are incorrect."
I had previously asked Prof. Durr "how
could such a scandalous mis-use of other
sciences have continued unchallenged for
over 40 years?" Durr replied that academic
etiquette usually restrained scholars from
other fields from straying into other disciplines,
especially with such criticisms. Austrian
physicist, systems theorist and best-selling
author, Fritjof Capra told me that "The
dimension of meaning, purpose, values and
conflicts is critical to social reality.
Any model of social organization that does
not include this critical dimension is inadequate.
Unfortunately, this is true for most theoretical
models in economics today." Even the
growth of hybrid professions - so-called
ecological economics, natural resource economics
and others, cannot escape economics' fundamental
errors. Many critics liken these to religious
beliefs, such as the postulate of "an
invisible hand" of markets and since
so many of its "principles" are
unlike the tested principles in physics
that can guide a spaceship to the moon.
For example, I showed that economics' Pareto
Optimality "principle" ignored
prior distribution of wealth, power and
information - and could lead to unfair social
outcomes. Dressing up such concepts in fancy
mathematics tends to disguise their underlying
ideologies. Professor Robert Nadeau, a distinguished
historian of science at George Mason University
in the USA has also examined such flaws
in economics in his recent books[15].
The temptation to mathematize
concepts and faulty assumptions in economics
is understandable, because it obscures these
value-laden biases. This conceals public
issues as too "technical" for
the public or even legislators to understand.
Thus, economists gain influence with the
wealthy and powerful institutions in society
which usually employ them. Neither have
economists been held to the same standards
of accountability as other professions.
If a doctor makes a patient sick, a malpractice
suit can be filed. Economists' bad advice
can make whole countries sick - with impunity.
Today, economists from the IMF and central
banks to those serving financial firms all
bemoan the trend toward spending rather
than saving. They refuse to acknowledge
that this behavior is shaped by advertising,
credit cards and the constant barrage of
consumerism on global mass media.[16]
Neuroscientists, biochemists
and those studying the role of hormones,
as well as psychologists, anthropologists,
behavioral scientists and evolutionary biologists
are now dealing death blows to economics'
most enduring error. This lies in its model
of "human nature" as the "rational
economic man" who competes against
all others to maximize his own self-interest.
This fear and scarcity based model is that
of the early reptilian brain and the territoriality
of our primitive past. Neuroscientist Paul
Zak at Claremont University has linked trust,
which enables humans to bond and cooperate,
to the reproductive hormone oxytocin.
Indeed, we now know
from brain science why people are susceptible
to behavior change via mass media, advertising
and other forms of persuasion and lures
to instant gratification. Opportunistic
economists are now teaming up with brain
researchers using MRIs (magnetic resonance
imaging) to explore how the "reptilian"
portions of the human brain (associated
with the limbic system) are susceptible
to irrational urges, instant gratification
and short-sightedness. Now that economists'
models of human behavior (as "rational"
maximizing of self-interest in competition
with all others) are under attack by such
brain research, this field is being colonized
as "neuro economics" or "behavioral
economics" in the same way that economists
captured other disciplines as "ecological
economics" and "environmental
economics." I pointed out that the
long history of this tendency to colonize
other disciplines with false claims of universality
was due to the power and financial advantages
of economists as apologists for the powerful
interests of business and finance.
It remained for honest
reporters, Peter Coy to explain in Business
Week "Why Logic Takes a Backseat"
(March 28, 2005) and Justin Fox's "Why
Johnny Can't Save for Retirement" in
FORTUNE (March 21, 2005). Humans are always
"of two minds" about the signals
in their lives and environments. They shift
back and forth between their pre-frontal
cortex (the seat of rational decision-making)
and their reptilian, limbic brains. As yet,
few have focused on the implications of
this new brain research for the crucial
role and responsibility of the advertising
and commercial media industries. Over $500
billion is spent annually on advertising
to over-ride our rational pre-frontal cortex
and its longer-term decisions "to save
for a rainy day" and tempt us to run
up credit card debts to buy goods on impulse
- through sophisticated manipulation of
our senses and limbic brains. Advertising
in the USA is a pre-tax cost for companies
- to promote mass-consumption. Today, mass-consumption
of goods as an engine of economic growth
is un-sustainable.[17]
The critique of economics
by mathematicians is that people don't behave
like atoms, golf balls or guinea pigs. Unlike
the economists "rational economic man"
people are often irrational and their motivations
are complex, with many, especially women,
enjoying caring, sharing and cooperating
often as unpaid volunteers. Chaos theorist
and professor of mathematics at the University
of California, Ralph Abraham believes that
economics may one day become a science.
Abraham is researching the new mathematics
employed by some economists, by programming
"agents" in computer models that
are supposed to mimic human behavior. Prof.
Abraham adds, "The prize in economics
should be broadened in line with the full
spectrum of social sciences to which it
belongs and it should be distanced from
the Nobel awards, like the Fields Medals
in mathematics." Yet Peter Nobel maintains
that economics is not a science. Riane Eisler,
systems scientist and author of the best-seller,
The Chalice and the Blade, agrees. The agent-based
computerized efforts to make economics more
scientific may pay off in the future. One
recent model "Sugarscape" funded
by gullible foundations, simply recreated
poverty gaps and trade wars. I suggested
that if they had programmed half of their
"agents" with the behavior females
so often exhibit (by choice, or involuntarily
in patriarchal societies) they might have
produced different results. Economics is
patriarchal to its core, which accounts
for the rise of feminists economics.
Today, all economies
are still mixtures of public and private
sectors, two sides of the same coin. Humans
invented markets, which are always created
by human rules and laws. The "invisible
hand" is our own - and we should be
proud of this! The two top layers of the
"cake" of total productivity,
the private and public sectors, rest on
two lower layers ignored by economists:
the Love Economy of unpaid work and Nature's
Productivity. Mass communications and the
Internet helped spawn the new Third Sector:
the citizen non-profit groups, charities
and foundations of global civic society.
The World Social Forum, launched in Porto
Alegre, in 2000, has focused the global
debate about new paths to sustainable human
development. The "cultural DNA"
of societies always determines the size
and scope of public, private and civic society
sectors: based on their unique history,
values, goals and beliefs that energize
their people. The one-size-fits-all economic
theories of development, such as the "Washington
Consensus" have been discredited as
they encountered the realities of the Love
Economy, diverse cultures, topography, climate,
agriculture and the basic productivity of
ecosystems.
Cultural DNA still drives
development in all societies - even though
these human, social and cultural assets
(and sometimes liabilities) are overlooked
in economic textbooks, theories and the
statistics they generate. In fact, these
economic textbooks and models are now over
a hundred years out of date. Economic models
are still based on the Newtonian "clockwork"
ideas of general equilibrium. Thus, they
are also blind even to the dynamic change
and technological evolution engendered by
the very markets and industrialism on which
economists claim to focus and interpret!
These dynamic changes are now mapped by
other disciplines: chaos theory, system
dynamics, physical and behavioral sciences
and game theory. Today, economists are beginning
to focus on this colossal error and awaking
to the fact that general equilibrium economic
models cannot be used to guide macro-economic
policy in rapidly-evolving technological
societies. Economists' colonizing tendencies
expanded to "capture for our profession"
(as a UK-based economics society put it)[18]
the issues of global warming and climate
change. Hyphenated societies of ecological-economists,
social-economists, political-economists,
health-economists, labor-economists, behavioral-economists,
neuro-economists and evolutionary-economists
tell this story of intellectual colonialism.
Economists trump other
disciplines in academia too. Their departments
and business schools receive the lion's
share of funds, research contracts, power
and prestige. Economics is politics in disguise.
Cost-benefit analysis or a carefully crafted
economic impact statement can squelch any
government reform or new social or environmental
initiative. Such analyses emphasize the
costs of change to existing interests, while
ignoring or downplaying the current costs
of the status quo on other actors, the environment
or future generations. Cost-benefit analyses
fail to estimate the future benefits of
alternative policies and average out costs
and benefits so as to obscure who are the
winners and who the losers of a proposed
policy. All this confuses the general public
into believing that the issue is "technical"
rather than political.
Today, the chinks in
economists' armor are becoming widely evident
- as has the game of preempting the work
in other disciplines. Psychologists won
recent Bank of Sweden Memorial Prizes in
Economics for challenging simplistic economic
models of human behavior. Even Harvard University
may soon allow a new course in its economics
department that challenges the orthodoxies
still undergirding the policies of the IMF
and the decisions of Wall Street and the
world's bourses. A few economists borrowing
from psychologists and real world observation
now admit that we humans are not always
competitively maximizing our own self-interest
- the standard economic view of homo economicus.
Many people enjoy giving as well as receiving,
care about what kind of world we are leaving
our children - "irrational" behavior
to an economist. No wonder economics is
called "dismal." As London-based,
The Economist, points out, this re-think
undermines orthodoxy in such major policy
areas as free trade, taxes, school vouchers,
as well as globalization and the environment.
An article by journalist,
Robert Lee Hotz, "Anatomy of Give and
Take" in the Los Angeles Times (March
18, 2005) describes a recent experiment
at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston,
Texas where two women were observed with
the use of a $2.5 million brain scanner,
as they interacted in a game involving financial
and investing behavior. The brain researcher's
goal was to test and hopefully discover
the secret of trust, the crucial human behavior
that makes markets possible - and the variable
missing from the mathematics used by economists
in their models. Neuro scientist, Paul Glimcher
(of New York University) explained that
"we have started looking for pieces
of economic theory in the brain." After
monitoring the many moves between the two
young women, it turned out that, contrary
to the theory of many game theorists, these
two female players trusted each other. Traditional
game theory predicts that lack of trust
on the part of both players would cause
both to lose (the Prisoners Dilemma).
The outcome of the women's
game was that both won. Such optimal outcomes
are termed "win-win" games as
opposed to the "win-lose" games
of economic theory and the "lose-lose"
outcome of the Prisoners Dilemma game. This
outcome also challenges game theorist, John
Nash's famous equilibrium, for which he
won a Bank of Sweden Prize in Economics,
and which "predicts" that in economic
transactions between strangers predicting
each other's responses - that the optimal
level of trust is zero! Economics was always
based on patriarchal values - ignoring the
work of women in child rearing, caring for
the old, community volunteering as "uneconomic"
in GNP. Economics did not predict the rise
of socially-responsible investing (now at
$2.3 trillion in the USA alone) and textbooks
still imply that caring, sharing, volunteering
and cooperating are irrational unless self-serving!
MIT-trained economist,
John B. Perkins, author of Confessions of
an Economic Hit Man (2004)[19] documents
the misuse of economics to over-estimate
GDP-growth projections to justify the huge
World Bank and IMF loans to many developing
countries in the 1980s, which ensnared them
into unrepayable debt. The best-known economists
in the USA are admitting these and other
errors, including Paul Krugman, Joseph Stiglitz
and Jeffrey Sachs. Unsung women economists
revealed the patriarchal bias of economic
theories and led the way in pinpointing
these and other errors. They devised more
realistic models - from Sweden's Alva Myrdal,
India's Devaki Jain, Denmark's Esther Boserup,
to Argentina's Graciela Chichilnisky, Brasil's
Aspasia Camargo and futurist Rosa Alegria,
Germany's Inge Kaul, New Zealand's Marilyn
Waring and many others in the USA and other
countries.
Statistical revisions,
including those to overhaul GNP and GDP
national accounts were pledged by 170 governments
at the Rio de Janeiro Earth Summit in 1992.
. They were also recommended by the largest-ever
global convening of statisticians of sustainable
development and Quality of Life (ICONS)
in Curitiba, Brasil October 2003.[20] Such
statisticians have also repeatedly recommended
that GNP and GDP record national assets:
the value of public infrastructure investments
in roads, public health facilities, sewage-treatment,
ports, airports, schools and universities
that underpin the productivity of modern
economies. In too many countries, these
asset accounts, which properly balance the
public debts undertaken to construct such
vital infrastructure - are not recorded!
Such public works, buildings and facilities
are immensely valuable and should be amortized
over their lifetime of use - often over
a hundred years! Try running a company like
this, where your balance sheet could not
include the value of your factories and
capital assets! The USA made some of these
needed corrections in January 1996 and these
"stroke of the pen" corrections
accounted for one third of the budget surplus
of the Clinton administration. Canada followed
suit in 1999 and went from a deficit to
a $50 billion budget surplus.[21] The investments
called for in the Millennium Development
Goals, the Monterrey Consensus and other
proposals, such as the Global Marshall Plan,
must be properly accounted as assets, since
they will also produce dividends for societies
as they transition to sustainability.
Today, in our Information
Age, we acknowledge the value of investments
in Research and Development, management
education and employee training programs.
Accountants are learning to account for
intangible assets, goodwill, brands and
other reputational risks and benefits.[22]
Risk-analysis models, such as those of Innovest
Strategic Value Advisors now calculate social
and environmental risks overhanging a company's
balance sheet - which if not recorded, can
be overlooked and lead to sudden loss of
shareholder value.[23] Multi-billion dollar
US public pension funds now require companies
in their portfolios to disclose their plans
to mitigate risks of climate change. Similar
disclosures are mandatory in the European
Union. Another area is corporate advertising,
which is coming under increasing public
criticism. I founded the non-profit EthicMark
Institute, which will be based at Case Western
University at the Center for Business As
Agent of World Benefit, founded by David
Cooperrider and Judy Rodgers. The EthicMark
Institute will recognize advertising campaigns
that inspire and enhance the human spirit
with the "EthicMark" certification.
(See www.ethicalmarketplace.com
and www.ethicalmarketplace.org).
The World Bank was catching up with all
these statistical innovations - beyond macroeconomic
models to multi-disciplinary systems approaches
- using all the multiple metrics beyond
money to map these diverse aspects of human
development and progress. This progress
may easily revert to the neoconservative
agenda and laissez-faire models of the past.
I and my partner, The Calvert Group of socially-responsible
mutual funds use the multi-discipline approach
in our Calvert-Henderson Quality of Life
Indicators, which are updated regularly
at www.calvert-henderson.com.
The World Bank was also
going multi-disciplinary - replacing some
of its macroeconomists with sociologists,
anthropologists, epidemiologists, educators
- and even civic society representatives.
Under neoconservative management these policy
innovations may be reversed. In its 1995
report on the Wealth of Nations, the Bank
acknowledged that 60% of this wealth is
comprised of human capital and 20% ecological
capital. Financial and built capital (factories
and monetary assets) represented only 20%.
For 50 years the Bank focused most of its
attention on "economic" growth
of this 20% of countries' wealth. Now, the
Bank is shifting its focus to that 60% of
human capital with more health and education
investments - recently citing the education
of girls as a country's best investment.
Yet the Bank has not,
so far, campaigned to add even public asset
accounts to GNP/GDP. Neither the Bank nor
the International Monetary Fund (IMF) require
the addition of asset accounts, even for
infrastructure assets, let alone for education
and health - the most vital investments
to maintain that 60% of the human capital
comprising the wealth of nations. These
accounting corrections will shift statistical
focus to longer-term and sustainable investments.
Brasil is helping the IMF to correct its
GNP/GDP accounting. In April 2004, the IMF
agreed with Brasil that its vital backlog
of infrastructure investments in rapidly-growing
urban areas for basic sanitation and other
public facilities should not be accounted
for in ways that would increase the public
debt. However, the IMF only agreed to the
correct accounting for these public assets
as a "pilot project," an intellectually
absurd position![24] The IMF is still resisting
adoption of these corrections due to pressure
from Wall Street bond holders, banks and
other financial special interests that benefit
from high interest rates. This issue can
be advanced at the next WTO round, by the
Group of 20 and the G-77.
I and other critics
of the IMF's many mistakes over the past
decades are now calling for the permanent
overhaul of their GNP/GDP and all other
macro-economic models. The IMF should not
only set up proper accrual accounting of
assets for all investments in public infrastructure
- but should re-categorize education and
public health from "consumption"
to "investment" in human capital.
The World Bank and the UN System of National
Accounts (UNSNA) should make similar corrections
and add nations' public investments in education
and public health to these asset accounts
and amortize them over 20 years - the time
it takes to raise a child to a healthy,
well educated, productive adult. It is these
accounting corrections that can reveal the
opportunities for long-term financial and
social returns in the Millennium Development
Goals, as Jeffrey Sachs shows in The End
of Poverty (2005).[25]
As these statistical
innovations reflect the technological changes
in our information-based societies, and
are reported in mass media, citizens in
all democratic societies will align with
these evolving values. New business school
curricula now cover all these new issues
and indicators. Pre-eminent is Brasil's
Amana-Key Desinvolvimento e Educacao in
Sao Paulo. Others include, World Presidio
College in San Francisco, which offers an
MBA in sustainable business and the Center
for Business as Agent of World Benefit at
Case Western University, Cleveland, Ohio.
Citizens will understand and place education
and self-development as the best investment
individuals, companies and societies can
make in a better future for all.[26]
Educators and public
health professionals and the majority of
citizens can support these sectors so crucial
to their children's futures. Teachers can
be better paid and schools will no longer
have to fight in annual government budgeting
with other expenditures for needed police,
fire protection and other public services
and in national budgets, even military weapons.
As all such new score
cards of real wealth and human progress
are implemented, societies and companies
can steer themselves on sounder paths toward
order and prosperity. Companies will identify
avoided costs in full-cost pricing, life-cycle
costing and risk-analyses - while fully
crediting their intangible assets and investments
in R&D. For big companies, these changes
are less arduous than for smaller companies.
So it is important to also recognize the
efforts of small and medium-size enterprises
and salute their progress.
The new GNP/GDP asset
accounts will end today's egregious over-stating
of public debts and the excuses it offered
for excessive interest rates, sovereign
bond yields and currency speculation. Developing
countries in the HIPIC group are already
being relieved of un-repayable, often odious
debt. Former IMF chief economist, Kenneth
Rogoff, suggested many reforms in his article
in The Economist, July 24, 2004.[27] I moderated
five TV debates on "Reforming International
Finance" between Kenneth Rogoff, John
B. Perkins, author of best seller Confessions
of an Economic Hitman and Sakiko Fukuda-Parr,
lead author of the UN's Human Development
Report.[28] The IMF's new President, Rodrigo
Rato is accepting the need to change many
of its socially disastrous policies and
to write off more un-repayable debt - in
response to the pressures of global civic
society and the world's new superpower:
global public opinion.
In this new century,
long-held ideas are changing. The European
Union is a new model of integration of formerly
warring countries. Negotiation, cooperation
and multi-lateral agreements are the way
forward. The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq
have revealed the many problems that even
politicians and military leaders now admit,
are not susceptible to military solutions.
New approaches to terrorism now favor funding
education and building schools in countries
where poor parents have no choice but to
send their children to fundamentalist "madrassahs"
where they are taught the ways of "jihad"
and suicidal "martyrdom" to kill
others in the name of God.
Indeed, in our age of
weapons of mass destruction, wars are the
most dangerous and ineffective options.
We see already in our 21st century that
the new weapons of choice are currencies,
as well as better diplomacy, intelligence
and widely shared information. Investments
geared toward the Global Marshall Plan will
help guide the re-prioritizing needed to
steer societies toward equitable resource-use
and reduction of conflicts. Insurance policies
for peace-keeping forces can reduce military
budgets for countries wishing to follow
Costa Rica, which abolished its army in
1947. The proposed United Nations Security
Insurance Agency (UNSIA), a partnership
of the Security Council with insurance companies
would assess country risks and collect premiums
that would be pooled to train standing UN
peace-keeping and humanitarian forces.[29]
The UN General Assembly should take up all
the alternative financing mechanisms, including
those of the 2002 UN Monterrey Consensus,
the Global Marshall Plan, so as to implement
the Millennium Development Goals. The time
has come for global taxes on arms sales,
currency trading, airline tickets and e-mail
to provide global public goods: education,
health care, sounder international financial
architecture and peace-keeping.
These human skills now
have laid before us a rich array of potentials
for astounding, widespread, shared prosperity,
peace, restoring and our planet's ecosystems.
These new visions and values underlie in
the United Nations Millennium Development
Goals, in the UN Global Compact; in the
Prague Declaration on Humanizing Globalization;
the Global Marshall Plan; the ILO's Report
of the Commission on the Human Dimensions
of Globalization; and the 16 principles
of the Earth Charter, now ratified by hundreds
of municipalities, companies and NGOs in
over one hundred countries. The way forward
to the transition to peaceful sustainable
societies is possible.
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